Packers vs. Vikings Odds, Picks & Predictions: Back the Home Team in This Potential Upset

<p>AP Photos</p>

AP Photos

The NFL Week 1 slate brings us a lot of juicy matchups, one of which includes this divisional showdown between the Green Bay Packers and the Minnesota Vikings.

This game is being played in Minnesota on Sunday, Sept. 11 at 4:25 p.m. ET.

Packers vs. Vikings Betting Odds

TeamOdds
Packers Moneyline-120
Vikings Moneyline+109
Packers Spread-1.5
Vikings Spread+1.5
Packers-Vikings over/under48
Date & TimeSun, Sept. 11, 4:25 p.m. ET
Odds via OddsJam Perfect Line

Can the Vikings Get the Upset as Home-Dogs?

After three straight 13 win seasons, the Packers head into the 2022 season with a major question mark at wide receiver after trading Davante Adams to the Raiders in the offseason.

With that said, since 2019 the Packers are 7-0 in games that Adams has missed, with quarterback Aaron Rodgers averaging over 292 passing yards and 2.5 touchdowns in those games. So, although a limited sample size, the Packers have proven they can win without Adams.

Still, doing it for a full season is a different animal. One concern for the Packers is that they did not do much to try and offset the loss of Adams. They signed receiver Sammy Watkins in the offseason, but he has been a disappointment for years now, and hasn’t gone over 700 receiving yards in a season since 2015.

The Packers did draft two receivers in this most recent NFL draft, but earlier this training camp Rodgers called out the rookie receivers, stating that if they aren’t more consistent than they won’t be on the field.

Historically, Rodgers does not often target rookie receivers.

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While the Packers do have two strong running backs in Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon, they have question marks at the offensive line with both starting tackles reporting to camp still nursing injuries.

Defensively, the Packers have talent, especially at the secondary, but they still finished the 2021 season as the 22nd ranked defense in the NFL. They could easily improve upon that number, but that is still a projection.

On the Vikings side, they return a lot of the same cast of characters on the players side in Kirk Cousins, Justin Jefferson, and Dalvin Cook, but with an entirely new coaching staff.

It was time for the Vikings to move on from previous head coach Mike Zimmer, as the players seemed to grow tired of his harsh coaching style. In comes highly-touted Kevin O’Connell as the new head coach, who was previously the Rams offensive coordinator for the past two years.

The Vikings quietly could make some noise this season. Despite finishing last year 8-9, they played in an astounding 14 one-score games, going 6-8 overall.

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While easy to rag on, Cousins has been good for the Vikings the past two seasons- throwing for over 4200 yards and 30 touchdowns each of the last two years. Of course, having receiver Justin Jefferson to throw to certainly makes it easier.

Jefferson has been historically good two years into his career. He was voted to the Pro Bowl in both years, as well as being named Second-Team All-Pro both seasons as well.

With the upgrade at head coach and a talented roster, I could easily see the Vikings winning 10 or more games and sneak into the playoffs, or even win the NFC North.

I also like the Vikings to come out with a win in this matchup. They are the home team, and the Packers aren’t necessarily a team known for starting the season strong.

Just look to last years Week 1 game against the Saints, where the Packers were blown out 38-3. While it certainly isn’t likely for them to lose by 35, I like the Packers to get upset and start the season 0-1 against the Vikings.

This is also a Positive Expected Value bet that I found using the OddsJam Positive EV betting tool. Finding the best line for your bets is easy with OddsJam – click here to join today!

Packers vs. Vikings Betting Pick: Vikings Moneyline | +120 at DraftKings


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