2022 NFL MVP Odds: Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes & Tom Brady are the Favorites

<p>AP Photos</p>

AP Photos

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OddsJam StaffJune 24, 2022, 08:06 PM

Josh Allen leads all players at +700 to win the 2022 AP MVP award. Reigning MVP Aaron Rogers is a little bit back from the first tier at +900.

After back-to-back victories for Rogers, will we see a new, younger face like Allen or Joe Burrow? Or will a seasoned veteran like Tom Brady or Matt Stafford take the prize?

One thing is for certain, this year’s race is as wide open as ever. 

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Odds To Win 2022 NFL MVP Award

PlayerOdds
Josh Allen+700
Patrick Mahomes+800
Tom Brady+800
Aaron Rodgers+900
Justin Herbert+900
Joe Burrow+1200
Matthew Stafford+1400
Dak Prescott+1400
Russell Wilson+1400
Lamar Jackson+2000
Odds via BetMGM

NFL MVP Picks & Predictions

The Safe Pick: Josh Allen | +700 at BetMGM

Josh Allen leads all other players in preseason odds at +700 to win the MVP. Allen burst onto the scene in 2020, putting up 4,500 yards and 37 touchdowns en route to a second-place finish in MVP voting.

In 2021, the Bills QB had another solid year, but was a tick down in about every statistical category. Now, in his fifth season, Allen and the Bills are expected to take a huge leap forward.

It remains to be seen how the Bills and Allen will respond to the departure of their offensive coordinator Brian Daboll. The Bills hired a familiar face in Ken Dorsey as their new OC.

Dorsey has been in the QB room in Buffalo since 2019, so I’m confident Allen won’t miss a beat.

The Longshot: Joe Burrow | +1200 at BetMGM

Joe Burrow is coming off a monster year in 2021. With 4,600 yards and 36 TDs, it’s no surprise he won Comeback Player of the Year after an injury-shortened rookie campaign.

After a ton of success in 2021, both individually and as a team, I love the value of +1200 for Burrow. If Burrow can keep up a similar pace in 2022, his odds will jump to the top tier, making this a solid longshot preseason play. 

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The Value Pick: Tom Brady | +900 at BetMGM

After a wild offseason, the soon-to-be 45-year-old Brady will take the field for Bucs in 2022. Brady, who finished second in the MVP voting last season, beat Aaron Rogers in just about every statistical category in 2021.

Of all the veterans at the top of the MVP race, I love Brady’s value the best. I believe he can still keep up with the production we’ve come to expect from him.

And with this year, potentially, being his last, I believe voters will be more inclined to vote for him than they have in the past. 

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2022 NFL MVP Prediction: Tom Brady | +900 at BetMGM

I’m riding with the three-time MVP based on his preseason value. I think +900 is a steal and the best you’ll see all season.

Brady’s production has not missed a beat and I expect that to continue in 2022. Call me sentimental, but I’m putting my money on Brady riding off into the sunset (aka the Fox booth) with his fourth MVP in hand.


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