2022 NFL MVP Futures Odds: Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes & Tom Brady are the Favorites

<p>AP Photos</p>

AP Photos

Josh Allen leads all players at +450 to win the 2022 AP MVP award. After a dominating week one performance against the defending Super Bowl Champs, Allen’s MVP odds skyrocketed. The Bills and Allen already looks to be in midseason form. As both odds leaders for MVP and Super Bowl winners, it’s no secret the Bills have a ton of pressure on them in 2022. But, they look poised to take control of the NFL, if they keep firing on all cylinders.

Mahomes and Brady (+800) and Justin Herbert (+850) fill out the next 3 slots. Aaron Rogers rounds out the top 5 at +1000. It seems like the MVP race is Josh Allen’s to lose but, with names like Brady and Rogers chasing him, he’ll need to build off the momentum of week 1 and continue this dominance throughout the whole season.

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Odds To Win 2022 NFL MVP Award

PlayerOdds
Josh Allen+450
Patrick Mahomes+800
Tom Brady+800
Justin Herbert+850
Aaron Rodgers+1000
Joe Burrow+1200
Russell Wilson+1400
Dak Prescott+1600
Lamar Jackson+1600
Odds via BetMGM as of Sep 9

NFL MVP Picks & Predictions

The Safe Pick: Josh Allen | +450 at BetMGM

Josh Allen leads all other players in preseason odds at +450 to win the MVP. Allen burst onto the scene in 2020, putting up 4,500 yards and 37 touchdowns en route to a second-place finish in MVP voting.

In 2021, the Bills QB had another solid year, but was a tick down in about every statistical category. Now, in his fifth season, Allen and the Bills are expected to take a huge leap forward.

There were questions on how the Bills and Allen will respond to the departure of their offensive coordinator Brian Daboll. However, after week 1, it looks like Allen and the Bills haven’t missed a beat. Allen’s dominance against the defending champs, confirms what most people already believed about the young QB, they are a legit contender to be the best player in the league this year.

The Longshot: Joe Burrow | +1200 at BetMGM

Joe Burrow is coming off a monster year in 2021. With 4,600 yards and 36 TDs, it’s no surprise he won Comeback Player of the Year after an injury-shortened rookie campaign.

After a ton of success in 2021, both individually and as a team, I love the value of +1200 for Burrow. If Burrow can keep up a similar pace in 2022, his odds will jump to the top tier, making this a solid longshot preseason play. 

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The Value Pick: Tom Brady | +800 at BetMGM

After a wild offseason, the soon-to-be 45-year-old Brady will take the field for Bucs in 2022. Brady, who finished second in the MVP voting last season, beat Aaron Rogers in just about every statistical category in 2021.

Of all the veterans at the top of the MVP race, I love Brady’s value the best. I believe he can still keep up with the production we’ve come to expect from him.

And with this year, potentially, being his last, I believe voters will be more inclined to vote for him than they have in the past. 

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2022 NFL MVP Prediction: Tom Brady | +900 at BetMGM

I’m riding with the three-time MVP based on his preseason value. I think +900 is a steal and the best you’ll see all season.

Brady’s production has not missed a beat and I expect that to continue in 2022. Call me sentimental, but I’m putting my money on Brady riding off into the sunset (aka the Fox booth) with his fourth MVP in hand.


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