Anytime Touchdown Scorer NFL Bets Today: Trust Stefon Diggs for Anytime TD in Week 4

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Matt ModiSeptember 30, 2022 at 11:00 PM

OddsJam’s football expert breaks down his top NFL anytime touchdown scorer predictions for each day of NFL action! Find the top odds, picks and predictions today below.

Early Sunday Slate Anytime TD Pick

Bills vs. Ravens: Stefon Diggs Anytime TD | +102 at FanDuel

Sunday, Oct. 2 | 1 p.m. ET

For what feels like the 10th year in a row, this Ravens secondary is in absolute shambles. Everybody remembers them getting torched by Tua Tagovailoa to the tune of 460+ yards and 6 touchdowns in Week 2, but they even made Mac Jones and the Patriots passing offense look good! Jones threw for over 320 yards last week.

Now, the Ravens are lucky enough to go against an angry Bills team that just lost their first game last week. The Bills have the fifth-best passing offense in the NFL, according to DVOA. This comes as no surprise, as they have an elite QB in Josh Allen and an elite WR in Stefon Diggs.

Diggs had a quiet game last week, but that is unlikely for that to happen in back-to-back weeks.

Moneyline

Late Sunday Slate Anytime TD Pick

Broncos vs. Raiders: Davante Adams Anytime TD | +122 at Caesars

Sunday, Oct. 2 | 4:25 p.m. ET

The late slate is a rough one, only featuring three games that all have low totals. I ended up settling on Davante Adams to get into the end zone, though.

Adams had an awesome Week 1 but has had two quiet weeks in a row now, while the Raiders are also 0-3. Props to Adams, who has not yet complained about losing and his lack of production (at least not publicly), only saying that he doesn’t care about stats.

With that said, despite only having 7 combined catches for 48 total yards in the previous two weeks, Adams has scored in all three games so far.

The guess here is that the Raiders didn’t trade a haul, and give Adams a massive extension only to average fewer than 4 receptions per game. So, he should receive a ton of targets, especially in the red zone.

Moneyline

Sunday Night Football Anytime TD Pick

Chiefs vs. Buccaneers: Travis Kelce Anytime TD | +105 at FanDuel

Sunday, October 2 | 8:15 p.m.

If Travis Kelce ever has plus odds to score a touchdown, we are going to take it.

Kelce is the best tight end in the NFL and has been even more of a target for Patrick Mahomes following the departure of Tyreek Hill. He’s scored in two of his three games this season, including last week against the Colts.

Odds for Kelce to score a touchdown are usually in the -130 to -140 range, so the value here is great. He will be facing a dominant Bucs defense in this one, but look for Andy Reid to get him matched up against a linebacker in the redzone a few times.

Moneyline

The revamped Chiefs receiving core has not been overly impressive to start the season, those being JuJu-Smith Schuster, Marquez Valdez-Scantling and Skyy Moore. In a game of this caliber, it’s almost certain Mahomes will be looking for his No. 1 trusted target, particularly given his lack of snaps played with the rest of his receivers.

Travis Kelce at plus odds is not something sports bettors can get very often. We are going to take advantage of it while we can.

Thursday Night Football Anytime TD Pick

Dolphins vs. Bengals: Hayden Hurst Anytime TD | +325 at FanDuel

Thursday, Sept. 29 | 8:15 p.m. ET

I get it, this one is admittedly a deep-cut, but hear me out.

Looking at DVOA specifically against tight ends, the Dolphins are the third-worst team in the NFL at defending tight ends. In Week 2, the Dolphins gave up 9 receptions for 104 yards and a TD to Ravens TE Mark Andrews.

Of course, Andrews is one of the best tight ends in the game, but the Ravens were able to take advantage of the Dolphins’ weak linebackers to a ton of success.

Moneyline

While Hurst has yet to get one into the end zone this year, he has been a relatively important part of the Bengals offense so far this season. Taking out Week 3 (we’ll get to that later), Hurst played in 75% and 81% of the snaps in Weeks 1 and 2, respectively. He also received a combined 15 targets in those two games as well, getting 8 in Week 1 and 7 in Week 2.

Heading into Week 3, Hurst was limited with a groin injury, and because of that only played in 38% of the snaps. But, with that said, on Tuesday of this week Hurst was able to practice in full, and Bengals reporters have stated that Hurst should see the same snap percentage and target-share that he received in Weeks 1 and 2.

So, with all that said, if Hurst can once again get 7+ targets, I love the value of him getting into the end zone at +325 odds.

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