2023 Super Bowl Prop Picks: A DeVonta Smith Prop Bet for Chiefs vs. Eagles

Here we are, people. We finally made it to the big show. I bet most of you are wondering how you’re reading an article written by me on the greatest sports betting website in the history of sports betting websites.

Short answer, I have no idea. It just happened. But while we’re here, we may as well make some cash. It just makes sense. Too much sense actually. Like an illegal amount of sense. On top of everything, this move happened on Super Bowl week and I have an absolute banger to celebrate.  

2023 Super Bowl Prop Bet: DeVonta Smith 70+ Receiving Yards | +128 at FanDuel

We’re at FanDuel here people but if you can’t play there, don’t worry. It’s fine. I checked my OddsJam Screen. We’re good.

You could just play the standard line at Caesars (-119), BetMGM (-120) or DraftKings (-130). The good news for you guys is the fact that they’ve all got 61.5, which is huge.

Some of the sharper books on this planet — like Pinnacle — are hanging 64.5 at -119 on this guy’s over so you are beating them. If we’re being honest, just beat Pinnacle on every bet and you’re gold.

I’ve been thinking about making this bet for two weeks now. I actually lost count of all of the mental simulations I performed on this thing. Who knows how many it was? All I know is I wasn’t absolutely sure if I was playing this thing until right now. Right this second. Not a second earlier.

It’s like something happened at exactly midnight that made this whole thing make sense. It was like I was free of this burden of doubt. Weird but powerful. Tough to explain what happened at exactly midnight that made this whole thing clear but whatever it was, it happened. And we’re all better for it.

I honestly don’t know exactly how this Super Bowl will go but I think the Kansas City Chiefs will score on the Philadelphia Eagles. The total is set at 51 so I’m not alone. Other people must be thinking that too.

If that’s the case, we should be looking at a game script that is a little more favorable to the Eagles’ pass catchers than the last few games. Hell, Smith was pushing 70 receiving yards in two of his last three games and two of those games were absolute beatings.

Philly didn’t even need his services those days and he was still out there producing. It’s what he does.

On Sunday, Smith will be matched up with a Kansas City secondary that isn’t great. On the season they were in the middle of the pack in terms of receiving yards allowed to opposing wide receivers.

But that number would have been higher had they not given up so many receiving yards to running backs. We’re talking 800+ to those guys, which is a lot.

No team in the NFL throws to their running backs less than the Eagles so it looks like the receivers could be given a slight bump since they are getting those short passes.

At the end of the day, the game script will determine whether we win or lose this bet and I think we’re in for a “Philly throwing the ball” game. Feels right.