The first of the two Sunday Elite 8 games features the only remaining 1 seed in the tournament in Kansas, going off against the 10 seed Miami. This game is being played on Sunday March 27th, at 2:20PM ET in Chicago at the United Center.
As the 1 seed, it is no surprise to see Kansas as the favorite here. They are currently 6 point favorites, with the over/under set at 147.
Starting with Kansas – as the sole remaining one seed they are definitely one of the most talented teams left in the tourney as well. Duke is probably number 1, but Kansas is right there with them in terms of pure talent. They are the 5th best team in the NCAA according to KenPom for a reason.
Led by stud senior guard Ochai Agbaji, and another senior guard in Remy Martin, who has really come on in this tournament, Kansas has a really good team. And of course, you can’t forget head coach Bill Self.
Kansas won their previous two games by single digits, but the score of both those games wasn’t representative of how those games went. Against Creighton they were leading pretty much the entire way, with Creighton cutting the lead to 1 in the remaining minutes, but Kansas immediately went on a run and that was that.
Against Providence, Kansas did a great job limiting Providence’s offense in the first half (aided by some poor shooting from Providence), and was able to withstand a mini run from Providence in the 2nd half to win comfortably despite the final score only being by 5.
What was really impressive was Kansas won that game even with a bad game from Ogbaji. He finished with only 5 points after going 2-8 from the field and 0-5 from 3. Of course, Remy Martin went off with 23 points to lead Kansas in scoring.
Kansas will have their hands full dealing with Miami’s offense, though. Miami finished with the 18th best offense in all of college basketball, and they too are led by two studs Isaiah Wong and Kameron McGusty.
Miami is here in the Elite 8 with 3 very impressive wins to start the tourney. They survived a scare against USC in the first round, followed by back to back blowouts against the 2nd seed Auburn, and then in the Sweet 16 against Iowa State.
Similarly to Kansas winning with Ogbaji having a poor game, Miami was able to do to the same against Iowa State with Wong having a poor game. With Wong unable to find a groove, finishing with only 7 points, Miami was instead led by McGusty and his 27 points.
Miami had always had the talent to compete at this level, they just never found the consistency. Well, through 3 games they have been consistent and that should be a scary thought for Kansas. I do still think Kansas wins this game straight up, but I am much more confident in Miami covering the spread.
The OddsJam Perfect Line, as well as most other books, price this spread at 6, so I love getting the extra half point. This is a Positive Expected Value bet, and the guess here is that getting the 6.5 as opposed to 6 will lead to this bet beating the closing line as well.
Kansas vs Miami Pick:
The best March Madness Elite 8 betting pick for this matchup is to take Miami to cover 6.5 points. I bet this at -110 odds on BetMGM Sportsbook.