Best NBA Same-Game Parlay Picks, Bets & Predictions

Best NBA Same-Game Parlay – June 16, 2022

Celtics vs. Warriors NBA Finals Game 6

9 p.m. ET

For the first time all playoffs, the Celtics are coming off of back-to-back losses. What that means is they are now one game away from losing these finals, and will need to win these next two games to secure the championship.

The most interesting part of game 5 was how much of an outlier it was in terms of the rest of the series. Steph, who had been utterly dominant, had his first off night, going 0-7 from deep.

Another difference was the Warriors, in games one through four, had been dominant in the third quarter. Instead, in game five, the Celtics dominated the Warriors in the third quarter but lost the game in the forth.

So, looking forward to game 6, here is a same game parlay for +750 odds for Thursday night.

1st Leg: Warriors/Celtics Game Total Under 210.5 | -105 at DraftKings

Aside from a weird scoring barrage in game 1 and a defensive collapse from the Warriors in game 3, scoring has been hard to come by in this series.

The under has now hit in three of five games, and I see no reason why this won’t continue in game 6.

The Celtics scored 120 points in game one and 116 in game three, but in the other three games have averaged only 93 points.

The Warriors, on the other hand, have surprisingly scored 100 or more points in every game this series, but only over 110 once.

The guess here is that the most likely scenario for game 6 is that the elite defenses will continue to play elite, and that even if the Celtics win neither team will score above 105. So, this total screams under.

2nd Leg: Robert Willams Rebound Total Over 8.5 | +115 at DraftKings

This was our official player prop of the game, and since it is such a good play it is also the 2nd leg of our same game parlay.

Willams has now hit this rebound prop in two of his last three games, and in the only game he missed he had exactly 8 rebounds. This coincides with Williams’ knee getting healthier, and therefor playing more minutes.

After barely playing more than 20 minutes per game prior to game 3 of the NBA finals, Williams is averaging just under 30 in games 4-6. It is no coincidence that he has also been racking up the rebounds in his last three games as well.

Due to his size, length, and leaping ability, Williams has become an essential player on the Celtics. He is the most adept big man at guarding the Steph Curry high pick-and-roll, while also terrorizing the Warriors on the offensive glass.

Assuming his knee continues to hold up, he should play 30+ minutes in a pivotal game 6, which means plenty of opportunities to collect rebounds.

3rd Leg: Jaylen Brown Point Total Over 25.5 | +120 at DraftKings

Browns point total is technically listed at 24.5, but I decided to be bold and take an alternate line exactly one point higher.

Brown, despite not going over 27 points at all this playoff series, has been incredibly impactful all series for the Celtics. In game 1 he was the catalyst for the forth quarter comeback, and then in games 2 and 3 he started off the game hot in the first quarter.

The problem with Brown is he hasn’t been able consistently keep this scoring up the entire game. Instead, he will be quiet for a quarter or two, while blowing up in the other two.

The expectation here is that Brown will once again start game 6 with a vengeance, but this time not lose steam as the game goes on, as the Celtics are one loss away from losing the finals.

There are two stats that I am encouraged by as well regarding Brown that makes me believe he is due for a big game 6. The first stat is the over 7 three-point attempts that Brown has been averaging for this series.

He had a rough game 5, going 0-5, but in every other game he made at least 2 from deep, on a ton of volume as well.

The next stat that I am encouraged by is the 10 free-throws that he attempted in game 5. After not having more than six the other four games of the series, it felt as though he made it a point to encourage contact and get to the line in game 5.

Three-pointers and free-throws are a great way to rack up points in todays NBA, which is why I love Brown in this spot.

Best NBA Same-Game Parlay – June 13, 2022

Celtics vs. Warriors NBA Finals Game 5

9 p.m. ET

The Golden State Warriors are coming off a huge win in Game 4 to send the series back to San Francisco tied at two games apiece.

To say that Stephen Curry put the team on his back would be an understatement. His 43 points were more than the rest of the starting lineup had combined, and he did so on an efficient 14-26 from the floor and 7-14 from beyond the arc.

Jayson Tatum scored 23 for Boston, but it took him 23 shots to get there. He’ll need to be better in Game 5 for the Celtics to have a chance. Here’s a +570 same-game parlay for Monday night:

1st Leg: Warriors -3.5 | -110 at Caesars

In order to win this series, at some point the Warriors are going to have to win two in a row. I expect that to happen in Game 5. 

Despite no Warriors other than Curry having particularly good games in Game 4, Golden State was still able to steal the victory on the road. 

With the home crowd and a better performance from the rest of the team, the Warriors will win and cover in Game 5. 

2nd Leg: Jaylen Brown Over 23.5 Points | -125 at Caesars

Brown only had 19 points in Game 4, but has played better than Tatum all series. His ability to slash to the rim and finish acrobatically has been incredible. 

Celtics coach Ime Udoka will realize that and run more of the offense through Brown in Game 5.

Udoka knows the Celtics must win to have a chance to close out the series at home in Game 6, and will have to roll with his best offense. 

3rd Leg: Draymond Green Over 7.5 Points | +105 at Caesars

Warriors head coach Steve Kerr benched Green at points during the fourth quarter of Game 4 because of his lack of production (or even being a threat the Celtics had to keep honest) on the offensive end of the floor.

Green said all the right things on his podcast immediately following the game, but he admitted he was frustrated in the moment. 

Previous Same-Game Parlays

Best NBA Same-Game Parlay – June 10, 2022

Warriors vs. Celtics Same-Game Parlay

9 p.m. ET

The Celtics took care of business at home Wednesday night in Game 3, giving them the chance to take control of the series with a 3-1 lead with a win Friday night. Golden State got a big game from both Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson but still lost, which has to worry head coach Steve Kerr and the Warriors. 

Curry and Marcus Smart went over their point totals, but the game went over the total as well, meaning we missed cashing Game 3’s same-game parlay by one leg. Here’s a +570 same-game parlay for Game 4:

1st Leg: Klay Thompson Over 20.5 Points | -115 at Caesars

Thompson finally found his shooting stroke in Game 3, drilling five threes en route to 25 points. If there’s anybody who does not lack confidence, it’s Thompson. 

While 5-13 doesn’t jump off the page, he started cold before heating up in the second and third quarters. 

With their backs against the wall and his fellow splash brother a little banged up, Thompson will let it fly. 

2nd Leg: Jayson Tatum Over 5.5 Assists | -145 at Caesars

Tatum only had 3 assists in the Game 2 loss in San Francisco, but the other two games he has soared over the total.

In Game 1 where he struggled shooting the ball, he still found a way to make a great impact on the game by dishing out 13 assists. 

In Game 3 he wasn’t particularly efficient either going 9-23 but did score 26 points. More importantly for this play though, he had 9 assists despite being a high-volume shooter.

3rd Leg: Under 214.5 | -110 at Caesars

The Warriors’ defense was abysmal at times in Game 3, especially by their standards. Overhelping and impatience led to a lot of easy looks for the Celtics in the paint. Boston made Golden State pay, shooting 57% in the first half. 

Where the Warriors really suffered was rebounding. The Celtics won the rebounding battle 47-31, and 15 of those were offensive rebounds that often led to easy putback buckets. 

While not truly a must win (the Warriors know better than anyone that a 3-1 lead is no certainty), Golden State will play with much more desperation which should translate to better defensive intensity.

I expect a close game, with a final score somewhere around 105-102.

Best NBA Same-Game Parlay – June 8, 2022

Warriors vs. Celtics Same-Game Parlay

9 p.m. ET

After a dominant fourth quarter from the Celtics in Game 1, it was the Warriors turn to pull away in Game 2 with a huge third quarter. 

If you tailed our same-game parlay for Game 2, you would have cashed a +485 ticket with the total staying under 215.5, Al Horford staying under 11.5 points, and Andrew Wiggins hitting over 1.5 threes. 

Let’s make it two in a row with a +648 parlay for Game 3. 

1st Leg: Under 212.5 | -110 at FanDuel

The defense in Game 2 from each team was pretty impressive for the majority of the game. The Warriors did have an explosive third quarter, but for the most part it was a physical rockfight between two of the best defensive teams in the league. 

As the series progresses, the two coaching staffs will find ways to shut down what worked in the previous game or two. In Game 1, Al Horford was left wide open and made 6-8 from deep. The Warriors adjusted and shut him down in Game 2. 

The Warriors were able to get a lot of easy buckets in the paint off passes from Curry in Game 2, and I see the Celtics doing a better job of cutting off passing lanes moving forward.

2nd Leg: Stephen Curry Over 28.5 Points | -118 at FanDuel

Curry has become consistently reliable to put up nearly 30 a game in the Finals. The Warriors’ star had 34 points in 38 minutes in Game 1, and 29 points in just 32 minutes in Game 2.

Curry has done a great job of knowing when to facilitate around the swarming Celtics defense but still get a large quantity of shots up. 

He shot 12-25 in Game 1 and 9-21 in Game 2. That’s a 46% field goal percentage for the series, which is solid but he has room to be even more efficient. 

If Steph Curry is getting up 21+ field goal attempts, he’ll hit the over far more often than not.

3rd Leg: Marcus Smart Over 12.5 Points | -154 at FanDuel

After a great Game 1 performance with 18 points on 7-11 from the floor, Smart was just 1-6 for 2 points during Sunday’s Game 2. He also had 5 turnovers in Game 2 as opposed to none in Game 1. 

Prior to that poor performance, Smart had scored 14 or more points in 8 of the last 10 games and will likely get back to that scoring ability on his home court. 

Best NBA Same-Game Parlay – June 5, 2022

Celtics vs. Warriors Same-Game Parlay

8 p.m. ET

In the third quarter of Game 1 it looked like we would cash our same-game parlay with the Warriors having a 15 point lead. Jaylen Brown under 2.5 threes and Draymond Green over 7.5 rebounds both hit, but the Warriors moneyline didn’t get there.

This sets up a near must-win for Golden State in Game 2, as going to Boston down 2-0 is not a championship recipe. Here’s a +485 same-game parlay for Sunday’s Game 2:

1st Leg: Under 215.5 Points | -110 at Caesars

The Game 1 total settled around 213 and soared over with 228 total points being scored. That’s given us a couple of free points with the Game 2 under and the exact same matchup.

The two teams combined to make 40 threes, which I don’t see happening again this series. 

Boston will have a better first-quarter gameplan to contain Stephen Curry, and it’s statistically unlikely that Al Horford, Derrick White, and Marcus Smart combine to shoot 15-23 from beyond the arc again.

2nd Leg: Al Horford Under 11.5 Points | -115 at Caesars

Speaking of Horford, he shot 33.6% from three in the regular season, and is over 46% in the playoffs. 

I expect some regression to the mean even if he does get open looks again. Now that the Warriors were burned by him over and over in Game 1, I expect more defensive focus on limiting him from the three-point line. 

Prior to Game 1, even with shooting a high percentage he had stayed under 11.5 points in seven of the last nine games.

3rd Leg: Andrew Wiggins Over 1.5 Made Threes | -130 at Caesars

Wiggins had a ton of open looks in Game 1, and though he wasn’t particularly efficient from deep, he still hit the over by going 2-7. 

The Celtics have to focus on containing the Splash Brothers, so Wiggins will continue to get solid looks throughout the series. 

Best NBA Same-Game Parlay – June 2, 2022

Celtics vs. Warriors Same-Game Parlay

9 p.m. ET

After narrowly avoiding a disastrous collapse in Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals against Miami, the Boston Celtics are moving on to take on the Golden State Warriors in the NBA Finals. 

This should be a fascinating series as the Warriors’ core is trying to regain their status as champions, while the young Celtics duo of Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown hope to start a dynasty of their own with a ring this season.

 Here’s a +550 same-game parlay for Game 1 of the NBA Finals:

1st Leg: Draymond Green Over 7.5 Rebounds | +110 at Caesars

Green averaged over 7 rebounds per game in the regular season and will obviously be playing increased minutes in the Finals as opposed to the regular season.

I don’t see a blowout in Game 1, so the only thing that would potentially limit his minutes is foul trouble, which he did struggle with in the series against the Mavericks. 

Green had at least four fouls in four of the five games in the series, which significantly impacted his minutes in some cases.

If he can play defense without fouling as much, I feel very good about this total at plus odds. 

I would take the over 7.5 down to +100

2nd Leg: Jaylen Brown Under 2.5 Made Threes | +105 at Caesars

Brown has failed to make multiple threes in each of his last two games, going 1-3 in Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Finals and 1-5 in Game 7. 

His likely defender will be Andrew Wiggins, who can use his athleticism to close out to the three-point line. 

If Jordan Poole spends time guarding him, Brown should look to attack the basket against the weaker defender rather than pull up from deep. 

I would take the under 2.5 down to +100

3rd Leg: Warriors Moneyline | -160 at Caesars

The Warriors have had an extended period of rest leading up to Game 1 at Chase Center in San Francisco, where they have yet to lose a playoff game so far this year. 

The Warriors are also 21-2 in Game 1’s under Steve Kerr, and have won 13 straight Game 1’s at home. 

I would take the Warriors up to -175.

Best NBA Same-Game Parlay – May 29, 2022

Celtics vs. Heat Same-Game Parlay

8:30 p.m. ET

The Miami Heat were able to rally in Game 6 and force the series back to South Beach for Game 7 tonight. 

One team’s season will come to an end tonight, while the other will have a couple days off before flying to San Francisco to take on the Warriors in Game 1 of the NBA Finals on Thursday.

Here’s a +655 same-game-parlay for tonight’s matchup:

1st Leg: Marcus Smart Over 3.5 Rebounds | -110 at FanDuel

Smart has hit over 3.5 rebounds in each of the four games he has played in this series.

In fact, the last game he played in that he failed to get at least four rebounds was Game 4 of the second round series against Milwaukee, when he only pulled down two boards. 

I expect him to play 40+ minutes tonight and his rebounding intensity will be at an all-time high in a decisive Game 7. 

2nd Leg: Over 197 | -110 at FanDuel

Four of the six games of the series have gone over 197, but a Game 7 is typically a lower scoring war. 

That said, the total opened around 199.5 and was bet down all the way to 195 before late action came in on the over, driving it back up to 197.

It doesn’t exactly need to be a high scoring game to get over 197, as that’s an extremely low total for an NBA game. I see a final score of something 

3rd Leg: Jimmy Butler Over 7.5 Rebounds | -118 at FanDuel

Butler pulled down 9 rebounds in the Game 6 victory on Friday, while playing 46 of the total 48 minutes. 

With the season on the line again, I expect him to spend very few minutes on the bench once again tonight.

Best NBA Same-Game Parlay – May 27, 2022

Heat vs. Celtics Game 6 Same-Game Parlay

8:30 p.m. ET

Last night, the Warriors closed out the Mavericks in Game 5 with a 120-110 victory to move on to the NBA Finals, where they will meet the winner of this Heat-Celtics series. 

Boston has its own chance to close out at home tonight, leading the series 3-2. The Celtics desperately want to avoid heading back to South Beach for a Game 7.

Here’s a +525 same-game parlay for tonight:

1st Leg: Marcus Smart Over 5.5 Assists | +105 at Caesars

This play is directly from the OddsJam positive expected value page. Most sportsbooks have this listed around -110 or higher, so there’s tremendous value here at Caesars. 

Smart only had 4 assists in Game 5, but played just 24 minutes on the night. In the other two games of the series he’s played in, he’s been on the court for at least 37 minutes.

In those two games, he had 7 and 12 assists. The Heat won’t go down without a fight, so Smart should play a high minute total in a close game, which would bode well for his assists.

2nd Leg: Jimmy Butler Over 33.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists | +100 at Caesars

After a great first couple games of the series, Butler has struggled since due to uncharacteristically cold shooting performances. 

In the last three games, he is a combined 10-40 from the floor and 1-7 from beyond the arc. 

A player of his caliber won’t stay cold forever, and in an elimination game with the season on the line I expect a big performance from the Miami star.

3rd Leg: Over 201.5 | -110 at Caesars

Neither of the past two games eclipsing 185 total points has really driven down this total to 201.5.

In the first three games of the series, the total soared over. Now, we’re getting the most over-friendly number we’ve gotten all series.

There is also correlation from the two player props. If Smart racks up the assists and Butler fills the stat sheet, there’s a higher likelihood that the game will go over.