$500 NBA Finals ParlayPlay Slip: Six Player Prop Bets for Heat vs. Nuggets Game 1

After a stunning blowout victory by Miami in Boston last night, Jimmy Butler and the Heat travel to Denver for Game 1 of the 2023 NBA Finals on Thursday night.

Just because the game isn’t for a couple days doesn’t mean it’s too early to start getting our bets in. I found six sharp player props on ParlayPlay, so let’s get into it.

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Pick #1: Gabe Vincent Under 18.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

I found this play using the OddsJam NBA Screen, which shows you where all the sportsbooks are pricing their lines and odds.

As you can see in the screenshot above, ParlayPlay is the only sportsbook where this line is at 18.5 All other books have his line at 17.5, which gives us a full point, rebound, or assists of value against the market.

One point may not seem like a huge deal, but that’s how we get an edge in sports betting. If Vincent lands on exactly 18 points + rebounds + assists, our under 18.5 on ParlayPlay wins. Meanwhile, under 17.5 with all the rest of the books on the market would lose.

Simpy put, ParlayPlay is too high relative to every other data point. Since we’re being given these extra points of value, the sharp play is to take the under.

ParlayPlay is a fixed payout platform, meaning your payout is the same regardless of what bet you choose.

In order to be profitable long term at ParlayPlay, you need to be winning your bets more than 53.22% of the time. With that number in mind, I am always placing bets that have a higher mathematical chance of hitting than 53.22%.

Pick #2: Jamal Murray Under 26.5 Points

The exact same concept applies to this play.

All other sites have this total listed at 25.5 and we are getting 26.5 on ParlayPlay. That extra point of cushion we have on the under can make a big difference over time.

ParlayPlay knows that most sports bettors have zero “edge” (or advantage) – they’ll will win 50%, lose 50% of their over/unders. Thus, recreational bettors with no edge will lose money on ParlayPlay long-term, as they can’t win their player props above 53.22% of the time.

Since I win over 53.22% of my props on ParlayPlay, I am profitable in the long run. Not every slip will win, but I trust the math on each one of my entries to consistently make money over time.

Before we get to the full slip, be sure to watch this video of me breaking down how I found these props.

Full Slip