UFC Vegas 59: Vicente Luque vs. Geoff Neal Odds, Bets, Picks & Predictions August 6

Vicente Luque vs. Geoff Neal Best UFC Bets, Expert Picks for August 6

10pm ET

I’ll be sharing my picks & predictions for UFC Vegas 59: Santos vs. Hill. This fight night is on Saturday, August 6, and there’s some great betting value on the card…

In this MMA preview, I’ll be sharing my UFC bets, picks and predictions for Vicente Luque vs. Geoff Neal. Luque (21-8-1) will look to bounce back at UFC Vegas 59. He suffered a loss to Belal Muhammad on April 16, 2022, and this was his first loss in three years. The 30 year old Brazilian had been on a tear through the UFC before losing to Muhammad by decision.

Luque, nicknamed the “The Silent Assassin,” is #6 in the Welterweight Division. He has 11 wins by TKO, 8 wins by submissions and 13 first round finishes. He’s a threat with both raw power, as well as his ground game. Vicente Luque’s stats show 53% striking accuracy and 50% grappling accuracy.

Geoff “Handz of Steel” Neal is ranked #13 in the Welterweight Division, and he will be on the other side of the octagon at UFC Vegas 59. He’s been streaky as of late in the UFC as of late.

Just like Vicente Luque, Neal has raw power. He has 8 wins by TKO, 2 wins by submission and 6 first round finishes. His stats show 50% striking accuracy, as well as 50% grappling accuracy.

Since my last MMA betting preview, lines have drifted very slightly towards Vicente Luque. He was previously -175 moneyline odds on DraftKings sportsbook, and Luque now sits at -180 odds on DraftKings.

As seen on the OddsJam MMA & UFC Odds screen, the best moneyline price on Luque is -180 odds. This price is offered three sportsbooks: PointsBet, Caesars and DraftKings. Geoff Neal is best offered at +155 odds on DraftKings, Caesars, BetMGM & BetRivers.

Please know that different locations have different online sportsbooks available, so you may be able to get better odds. Getting the best possible odds is so important as a profitable sports bettor. It adds up a lot of money over the course of a few hundred bets. This concept of getting the best betting line is called line shopping.

DraftKings sportsbook is pricing this UFC Vegas 59 fight to Go the Distance (“GTD”) at +110 odds. DraftKings has -150 odds on the fight not making it to decision.

The total rounds odds are below as well. As seen, the fight is juiced to go under 2.5 rounds. Caesars sportsbook, WynnBet & the OddsJam Perfect Line all price the under 2.5 at -130 odds. DraftKings is offering a slightly worse line at -135 odds. The over is best offered at +111 odds on the OddsJam Perfect Line.

I don’t have any bets locked in yet for this fight, but I will. I’ll be using the OddsJam Positive EV Sports Betting Software to look for two specific picks that I like for the Vicente Luque vs. Geoff Neal fight on August 6, 2022.

The first pick I like is the under 2.5 total rounds. I’d lean to bet the under up to -150 odds. I also like Vicente Luque moneyline for this UFC Vegas 59 matchup. I think has a good chance of winning by submission in the first round.