Twins vs. Padres Betting Odds, Expert Picks & Sharp Bets – July 30, 2022

<p>AP Photos</p>

AP Photos

The Padres take on the Twins on Saturday, July 30 at PETCO Park. The game begins at 7:15pm ET. I’ll be go through my best bets, picks & predictions in this baseball betting preview.

Joe Musgrove (8-3, 2.63 ERA) is scheduled to start for the Padres, and Sonny Gray (5-3, 3.52 ERA) is set to take the mound for the Twins. The total runs over/under is currently set at 7.5, with betting lines juiced towards the under.

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For this game on 7/30/22, I have a moneyline play. The moneyline odds for Twins vs. Padres can be seen below. Most sportsbooks are offering the Minnesota Twins at +115 odds. The San Diego Padres are best offered at -130 on DraftKings sportsbook.

Always make sure to check the OddsJam MLB Odds Screen before placing a bet. OddsJam has real-time baseball betting lines from 70+ online sportsbooks, so you can use OddsJam to ensure you’re always getting the best possible odds in your location.

Joe Musgrove is coming off a poor pitching performance against the New York Mets. On July 24, Musgrove game up 4 earned runs in 5.1 innings. He recorded four strikeouts and two walks in this outing.

Sonny Gray is coming off a strong performance against the Detroit Tigers on July 24. He allowed just two hits and one earned run in six innings. He also struck out seven in this game against Detroit. Granted, the Detroit Tigers average the lowest amount of runs per game in the entire MLB.

I do think that Gray will have a strong outing in San Diego. I also found a great spot to bet on the Twins moneyline thanks to the OddsJam Positive EV Sports Betting Software. I locked in the Twins moneyline at +125 odds for 1 unit. A picture of my betslip is below.

I also took the Twins on the run line. This bet of mine is on Caesars sportsbook. I think the value in Twins -1 run line at +185 odds is insane. This is another Positive EV betting pick. If the Twins win by 2+ runs, then my bet will cash. If the Twins win by exactly 1 run, then my bet will “push” and I’ll get my money back. Pushes are explained in this sports betting tutorial video.

Of course, if the Twins lose, then my moneyline and run line bets will both lose. So I essentially have 2 units on the Twins, and I’m hoping that they win by at least two runs.

Here’s a sharp UFC bet as well if you are so inclined 😉 I have 2 units on this play. I’m on Joselyne Edwards at -115 odds on Caesars sportsbook. I think she’ll get the job done against Ji Yeon Kim. UFC 277 on 7/30/22 is going to be an insane fight night.

We have Nunes vs Pena and Moreno vs Kara-France. Don’t overlook the smaller fights, though! This is often where the value is.

Positive EV betting is the most profitable form of sports betting. It’s all about looking for MLB picks where you have an “edge” over the sportsbook. Value means everything in the long run, as no sports bettor wins every time.

Learn more about Positive EV betting

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