Reds vs. Marlins Player Prop Bets Today – August 3, 2022: Sandy Alcantara Dominance

<p>AP Photos</p>

AP Photos

MLB Best Bet – August 3, 2022

Cincinnati Reds (42-61) vs. Miami Marlins (47-57) 

6:40 p.m. ET

Download OddsJam’s player prop betting app today to find the player props with the best value across every MLB game and market.

The Reds move into their life post Brandon Drury and Luis Castillo. They were a terrible team to start the season, striking out like crazy and finding any way to lose. Then they hit their stride, and played halfway decent baseball for the last 2 months or so. Well…it was fun while it lasted. The Reds lineup and pitching staff has gotten worse, at least in the short term. I will look to Sandy Alcantara to take advantage of this matchup. 

Sandy is the true definition of a work horse. His 149.1 innings are 10+ more than the next closest (Aaron Nola). He has gone 7 or more innings in 14/21 starts including 8/11 at home. While I am not taking his outs for today’s prop, that will come into play as the longer he goes, the more chances he will have for K. 

A 7.5 line is not something I ever thought I would take for Sandy, but there is too much to like here. While his season long K rate is 24.0%, that number has exploded to 31.3% over the last 30 days. Sandy is in the 63rd percentile in swinging strikes percentage, 61st percentile in K rate, 55th percentile in whiff rate, and 87th percentile in chase rate. 

As for the matchup, it is nearly as good as it gets. The Reds average the 4th most K per game at 8.87. They have 30 K over their last 3, and coming off a 15 strikeout performance in their first game without Drury. Over the last 30 days, the Reds have a 26.6% K rate vs RHP, good for 4th worst in the league. 

Sandy is coming off one of his worst starts of the season. I think he goes into this game and dominates the Reds weak lineup, and picks up 8+ K along the way. 

Reds vs. Marlins Prop Pick: Sandy Alcantara over 7.5 | +140 at DraftKings


Get the most profitable bet in Virginia delivered to your inbox, every day



Related Posts

news-image

Really long fake post Title

Category

news-image

Really long fake post Title

Category

news-image

Really long fake post Title

Category

Get the most profitable bet in Virginia delivered to your inbox, every day

Need some help?

Arrange a 1-on-1 Call

We're here to help! Book your free 1-on-1 call with one of our professional sports bettors to help maximize your profits with OddsJam!

Sync your Sportsbooks

Sync your sportbooks so you can automatically track your betting profits in real-time

Your Local Teams

TEAM

NEXT GAME

Top Odds Boosts