Rangers vs. Royals Player Prop Bets Today – June 27, 2022

MLB Best Bet – June 27, 2022

Texas Rangers (34-37) @ Kansas City Royals (26-45)

8:10 p.m. ET

The Rangers travel to Kansas City to begin a 3 game series tonight. Martin Perez will take the mound in the midst of an oddly timed career year. 

The 31 year old Perez took his career 4.51 ERA to Texas this offseason, and something clicked for him. He currently sits 4th in the league in ERA and the Rangers have won 10 of his 14 starts including 9 of the last 10. 

Perez is not a big strikeout pitcher, hence why I went in the player performance double route rather than over in K but he does have 3+ K in 13 straight starts. He racked up 6 K vs KC on 5/10 so I do not think 3 is asking for too much here. Martin goes deep into games, averaging 6.2 innings per start, so his 19.2% K rate should be enough to pick up enough K’s along the way. 

The Rangers have played some solid baseball on the road this season. They are 17-17 in road games averaging 4.53 runs per game (17-20 at home averaging 4.11 runs). The Royals have been awful wherever they have played this season. They are 13-23 this season at home and are 28th in runs per game at home at 3.50. 

Arguably the key factor I see in this matchup is Kris Bubic being on the mound for the Royals. He has been one of the league’s worst starters this season. He has a 7.41 ERA through 34 innings this season. He is in the 5th percentile or worse in hard-hit %, xwOBA, xERA, and is in the 24th percentile in barrell%. Simply put, opposing batters have very little trouble destroying his pitches. A good sign for the Rangers who have the 9th best OPS vs left-handed pitching this season. 

There are many advantages I see in this one favoring Perez and the Rangers so I will be betting Perez 3+ K and a Texas win.

Pick: Martin Perez 3+ strikeouts/ Texas Rangers win | +105 at DraftKings Sportsbook