Mariners vs. Yankees Player Prop Bets Today – August 1, 2022: Expect the Yankees to Get Their Steps In

<p>AP Photos</p>

AP Photos

MLB Best Bet – August 1, 2022

Seattle Mariners (55-48) vs. New York Yankees (69-34)

7:05 p.m. ET

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Let’s try something new this Monday morning. I am going to dabble in the walk market. Admittedly, there is not much analysis that goes into these props as there is a K prop. This will be rather straightforward, and I really love this prop.

I will be looking to the Yankees to take walks. Thankfully, that is something they do quite often. They are first in the league in walks per game at 3.96. They walk slightly more often at home, where they have racked up 4.02 walks per game. They have 18 over the last 3 games. For the season, they have the 2nd highest BB% vs LHP, and over the last 30 days they have jumped to first. The lineup is loaded with guys with a great eye:

  • DJ LeMahieu: 11.2% walk rate, 3rd in the league in walks
  • Aaron Judge: 11.1% walk rate, 9th in the league in walks
  • Anthony Rizzo: 10.6% walk rate, 26th in the league in walks
  • Josh Donaldson: 11.4% walk rate, 93rd in the league in walks
  • Andrew Benintendi: 9.9% walk rate, 28th in the league in walks
  • Aaron Hicks: 12.6% walk rate, 21st in the league in walks

You get the point. Most of their lineup is one of the league’s best targets for walks, and if Trevino and/or Gallo is in the lineup, that just adds even more targets. 

Marco Gonzalez has ok control. He has 36 walks in 113 innings, but gets far more prone to them on the road where he has 19 walks in 47 innings. He has gone over 1.5 walks in 6/9 road games. He is in the 53rd percentile in BB%, so he is pretty much middle of the pack in pitchers. While this is not a perfect science, Draftkings has more juice to over 17.5 outs than the under, so projecting 6 innings out of him is reasonable. Against an elite Yankees offense, I like him to walk at least 2 guys.

Mariners vs. Yankees Prop Pick: Marco Gonzalez over 1.5 walks | -120 DraftKings Sportsbook


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