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2022 Valero Texas Open Betting Preview, Odds, Picks, & Predictions
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Well, the Florida Swing is in the books and what a bizarre month it was. The players endured some of the toughest courses on the PGA schedule and did so amid grueling weather conditions. Scottie Scheffler has officially overtaken Jon Rahm as the world’s newest #1 player after his latest win at this weekend’s WGC-Dell Technologies.
The tour heads southwest from Austin to San Antonio, Texas this week for a final tune-up ahead of The Masters. This year marks the centennial anniversary of one of longest standing tournaments on tour – the Valero Texas Open.
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Some added incentive for the winner of this year’s Valero Texas Open (if he hasn’t already qualified for the Masters) is that he will earn the final spot in next week’s field. The golfers teeing it up at this year’s milestone tournament includes many of the game’s top players:
- Former FedEx Cup champions Rory McIlroy (+750) and Jordan Spieth (+1400) headline the field. Spieth will be attempting to become the last back-to-back winner since Zach Johnson in 2008-09.
- Bryson DeChambeau (+2800) will also attempt to solidify his game after missing the past six weeks due to injury.
- Hideki Matsuyama (+2000) joins the field after leaving early from the PLAYERS two weeks ago.
Abraham Ancer (+2000), Corey Conners (+1800), Tony Finau (+3000), & fan favorite Charley Hoffman (+5000) are just a few other notables among this year’s field.
2022 Valero Texas Open Field & Betting Odds
Odds via Caesars Sportsbook:
| PGA Golfer | Betting Odds |
|---|---|
| Rory McIlroy | +750 |
| Jordan Spieth | +1400 |
| Corey Conners | +1800 |
| Hideki Matsuyama | +2000 |
| Abraham Ancer | +2000 |
| Bryson DeChambeau | +2800 |
| Tony Finau | +3000 |
| Gary Woodland | +3500 |
| Si Woo Kim | +3500 |
| Maverick McNealy | +3500 |
| Chris Kirk | +3500 |
| Keegan Bradley | +3500 |
| Adam Hadwin | +3500 |
| Jason Day | +4500 |
| Jhonattan Vegas | +4500 |
| Luke List | +5000 |
| Mito Pereira | +5000 |
| Rickie Fowler | +5000 |
| Davis Riley | +5000 |
| Patton Kizzire | +5000 |
| Charley Hoffman | +5000 |
| Russell Knox | +5000 |
| Kevin Streelman | +5000 |
| Brendan Steele | +5000 |
| Sahith Theegala | +5500 |
| Ryan Palmer | +6500 |
| Robert MacIntyre | +6500 |
| Doug Ghim | +6500 |
| Rasmus Hojgaard | +6500 |
| Martin Laird | +8000 |
| Denny McCarthy | +8000 |
| Lanto Griffin | +8000 |
| Anirban Lahiri | +8000 |
| Matt Kuchar | +8000 |
| Ian Poulter | +8000 |
| Lucas Glover | +8000 |
| Dylan Frittelli | +8000 |
| Scott Stallings | +8000 |
| Alex Smalley | +8000 |
| Kyoung-Hoon Lee | +8000 |
| Kramer Hickok | +10000 |
| C.T. Pan | +10000 |
| Chad Ramey | +10000 |
| Charles Howell | +10000 |
| Brian Stuard | +10000 |
| Matthew NeSmith | +10000 |
| Lee Westwood | +10000 |
| Matt Jones | +10000 |
| Matthias Schwab | +10000 |
| Min Woo Lee | +10000 |
| Richard Bland | +10000 |
| Takumi Kanaya | +10000 |
| Troy Merritt | +10000 |
| Aaron Rai | +12500 |
| Kevin Chappell | +12500 |
| Branden Grace | +12500 |
| Cameron Champ | +12500 |
| Matthias Schwab | +12500 |
| David Lipsky | +12500 |
| Nick Taylor | +12500 |
| Beau Hossler | +12500 |
| Danny Lee | +12500 |
| Nate Lashley | +12500 |
| Pat Perez | +12500 |
| Sam Ryder | +12500 |
| Taylor Moore | +12500 |
| Adam Svensson | +12500 |
| Peter Uihlein | +15000 |
| Austin Smotherman | +15000 |
| Doc Redman | +15000 |
| Chez Reavie | +15000 |
| Zach Johnson | +15000 |
| Andrew Putnam | +15000 |
| Greyson Sigg | +15000 |
| Wyndham Clark | +15000 |
| Brendon Todd | +15000 |
| Garrick Higgo | +15000 |
| Adam Schenk | +15000 |
| Joseph Bramlett | +15000 |
| Nick Hardy | +15000 |
| Sam Ryder | +15000 |
| Hayden Buckley | +15000 |
| Patrick Rodgers | +15000 |
| J.J. Spaun | +15000 |
| Andrew Putnam | +17500 |
| Harry Higgs | +17500 |
| Bryce Garnett | +17500 |
| Tyler Duncan | +17500 |
| Lee Hodges | +15000 |
| Hank Lebioda | +17500 |
| Hudson Swafford | +20000 |
| Vince Whaley | +20000 |
| Andrew Novak | +20000 |
| Ben Martin | +20000 |
| Brandon Hagy | +20000 |
| Robert Streb | +20000 |
| Adam Long | +20000 |
| Graeme McDowell | +20000 |
| Luke Donald | +20000 |
| Patrick Rodgers | +20000 |
| Matt Wallace | +20000 |
| Ryan Brehm | +20000 |
| Brandt Snedeker | +20000 |
| Trey Mullinax | +20000 |
| John Huh | +22500 |
| Stephan Jaeger | +25000 |
| Paul Barjon | +25000 |
| Kyle Stanley | +25000 |
| Henrik Stenson | +25000 |
| Dylan Wu | +25000 |
| Logan McAllister | +25000 |
| J.T. Poston | +25000 |
| Kevin Tway | +25000 |
| Michael Gligic | +25000 |
| Peter Malnati | +25000 |
| Justin Lower | +25000 |
| Max McGreevy | +25000 |
| Camillo Villegaas | +25000 |
| Roger Sloan | +25000 |
| Ben Kohles | +25000 |
| Nick Watney | +25000 |
| Jimmy Walker | +30000 |
| Henrick Norlander | +30000 |
| Guido Migliozzi | +30000 |
| Bill Hass | +30000 |
| Andrew Landry | +30000 |
| Jim Herman | +30000 |
| Chesson Hadley | +30000 |
| James Hahn | +30000 |
| Bronson Burgoon | +30000 |
| Sung Kang | +30000 |
| Richy Werenski | +30000 |
| Curtis Thompson | +35000 |
| Seyng-Yul Noh | +35000 |
| Seth Reeves | +40000 |
| Austin Cook | +40000 |
| Michael Gligic | +40000 |
| Dawie VanDerWalt | +40000 |
| Martin Trainer | +40000 |
| Ludvig Aberg | +40000 |
| David Skinns | +50000 |
| Kelly Kraft | +50000 |
| Jonas Blixt | +50000 |
| William McGirt | +50000 |
| Ben Kern | +75000 |
What Course is the Valero Texas Open Held At?
TPC San Antonio (Oaks Course) is a Par 72, measuring at a whopping 7,522 yards. The Greg Norman/Sergio Garcia designed Oaks course will be playing host to the Valero Texas Open for the 13th time.
With less than 100 feet of elevation change, this course revels in its traditional design. Fairways are on the narrow side, however this rough is notoriously known as being flawed and relatively easy to navigate from. All greens/tees have had Poa Annua grass installed specifically for this event. With a purse of $7.9 million and another 500 FedExCup points on the line, we are surely in for a treat this weekend!
Valero Texas Open Past Champions:
Given the vast history of the Texas Open, some of the best all-time have hoisted this trophy. Including Sam Snead, Ben Hogan, Lee Travino, Mark O’Meara & Arnold Palmer (who had a 3-peat in the early 1960’s). The Valero Texas Open has always boasted low scores and hasn’t had a winner above par since 1932!
Here are the previous five tournament finishes :
| Year | Winner | Score | Runner-Up | Purse |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Jordan Spieth | -18 | Charley Hoffman | $1.55 million |
| 2019 | Corey Conners | -20 | Charley Hoffman | $1.35 million |
| 2018 | Andrew Landry | -17 | Trey Mullinax / Sean O’Hair | $1.11 million |
| 2017 | Kevin Chappell | -12 | Brooks Koepka | $1.11 million |
| 2016 | Charley Hoffman | -12 | Patrick Reed | $1.11 million |
Golfers & Stats to Watch for the Valero Texas Open:
Quality ball striking will be the epitome of success this week. Given that driving distance & accuracy off the tee aren’t overly important with that ‘dead rough’, this course shapes up as your stereotypical 2nd shot golf course. With slightly smaller than average greens and most of them being multi-tiered, technical greens -> approach becomes the quintessential statistic this week.
Considering the course is over 7,500 yards long and the GIR% (Greens in Regulation %) being proportionately low at the Oaks Course, there are two stats I’m giving more attention to this week. I will be drawn to players with good SG: ATG (Strokes Gained Around The Green) numbers since missed greens will be common across the board.. Finally, I’ll look towards Approach data from 175+ yards.
If you can have success at all three of these stats this week, as long as your putter isn’t made out of icicles, you should be right in contention throughout the weekend.
Corey Conners is my top play among betting favorites. He won his first PGA event here in 2019 (at 200-1 odds) and is coming into this week en fuego. The best ball striker in the field in numerous facets, he is a virtual lock for a Top 10, which you can get at +200 at BetMGM.
Keegan Bradley has turned his game upside down since leaving California. His approach game has always been a mainstay, but especially from long-range. Easily one of the best players not yet qualified for The Masters, you better believe he will be properly motivated. Bradley is currently +4000 at BetMGM to win outright.
Matthew NeSmith is a pure ball striker and has been flirting with contention all season. A constant among the top of all accuracy & approach statistics, if he ever runs into a hot putter – LOOK OUT! NeSmith is currently +8000 at BetMGM.
