2022 RBC Heritage Betting Preview, Odds, Picks & Predictions

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Ben SchaferApril 14, 2022, 03:12 AM

As is tradition, Augusta National and Masters week did not disappoint. 

The Scottie Show continued, clearing the field by 3 strokes, despite a 4-putt 18th on Sunday; which made the field seem closer than they ever were. The trouncing is his first career major, 4th win, and 7th top 10 finish this season. Unlike Scottie, we cannot relish in our green jacket, we are onto plaid and the PGA’s only trip to South Carolina.

2022 RBC Heritage Tournament

  • Dates: April 14-17, 2022
  • Course: Harbour Town Golf Links,  Hilton Head,  SC
  • Purse: $8,000,000
  • Defending Champ: Stewart Cink

What Course is the RBC Heritage Tournament Held At?

Harbour Town Golf Links is a stunning course located on the island of Hilton Head. The course was designed by the Picasso of golf design, Pete Dye, along with help from the Golden Bear, Jack Nicklaus. While the course is on the shorter side, comparatively to other tour courses, it does not lack its challenges.

The fairways are incredibly tight and players will need the ability to shape shots in all directions to avoid overhanging oaks and pines lining the holes. Competitors will need pin point accuracy to avoid strategic bunkers around some of the smallest greens on tour. Length off the tee will take a backseat to shot making this week. 

What Channel is the RBC Heritage Tournament On?

  • Golf Channel: 3-6 PM
  • ESPN+ 7:00 AM-6 PM

Listen to the RBC Heritage

  • SiriusXM: 12-6 PM

RBC Heritage Tournament Field & Betting Odds

The field following the first major champion does not disappoint. It is absolutely  loaded with 5 of the top 10 players set to play in this week’s tournament. Headlined by Colin Morikawa (+1200 at Caesars) and Cameron Smith (+1600 at Caesars), both look to continue with recent form after each finished in the top 10 last week. Justin Thomas (+1400 at Caesars) should have a strong showing this week, he is top 5 strokes gained on approach to green this season and excellent ball striker. JJ Spaun (+8000 at Caesars) seems like a lock for a top 25 finish this week, his game sets up nicely for Harbour Town Golf Links and has been playing well as of late.

Odds via Caesars Sportsbook

GolferOdds
Collin Morikawa+1200
Justin Thomas+1400
Cameron Smith+1600
Matt Fitzpatrick+2000
Patrick Cantlay+2000
Shane Lowry+2200
Dustin Johnson+2200
Russell Henley+2800
Corey Conners+3000
Joaquin Niemann+3000
Sungjae Im+3500
Jordan Spieth+3500
Daniel Berger+3500
Kevin Kisner+3500
Adam Hadwin+3500
Webb Simpson+3500
Tyrrell Hatton+3500
Billy Horschel+3500
Tommy Fleetwood+4000
Kevin Na+4000
Alex Noren+4500
Si-Woo Kim+4500
Harold Varner+5000
Jason Kokrak+5000
Maverick McNealy+5000
Matt Kuchar+5000
Chris Kirk+5000
Brian Harman+6000
Tom Hoge+6500
Kevin Streelman+7000
Russell Knox+7000
J.J. Spaun+8000
Mito Pereira+8000
Luke List+8000
Denny McCarthy+8000
Sepp Straka+8000
Troy Merritt+8000
Erik Van Rooyen+8000
Cameron Tringale+9000
Charles Howell+9000
Ian Poulter+9000
Cameron Young+9000
Stewart Cink+9000
Dylan Frittelli+9000
Patton Kizzire+9000
Aaron Wise+10000
Brendon Todd+10000
Charley Hoffman+10000
Sahith Theegala+10000
Matthew NeSmith+10000
C.T. Pan+10000
Lucas Glover+10000
Rickie Fowler+10000
Matthias Schwab+10000
Danny Willett+12500
Brandt Snedeker+12500
Scott Stallings+12500
Doug Ghim+12500
Anirban Lahiri+12500
Chad Ramey+12500
Adam Svensson+12500
Joel Dahmen+12500
MacKenzie Hughes+12500
Davis Riley+12500
Beau Hossler+15000
Kyoung-Hoon Lee+15000
Luke Donald+15000
Michael Thompson+15000
Cam Davis+15000
Branden Grace+15000
J.T. Poston+15000
Nate Lashley+15000
Nick Taylor+15000
Carlos Ortiz+15000
Adam Long+15000
Charl Schwartzel+15000
Brian Stuard+15000
Lanto Griffin+15000
Emiliano Grillo+15000
Harry Higgs+15000
Alex Smalley+17500
Brice Garnett+20000
Takumi Kanaya+20000
Pat Perez+20000
Graeme McDowell+20000
Garrick Higgo+20000
Wyndham Clark+20000
Andrew Putnam+20000
Zach Johnson+20000
Doc Redman+20000
Chez Reavie+20000
Kramer Hickok+20000
Ben Martin+25000
Henrik Stenson+25000
Tyler Duncan+25000
Joseph Bramlett+25000
Wesley Bryan+25000
Satoshi Kodaira+25000
Hudson Swafford+25000
Danny Lee+25000
Jim Furyk+25000
Sung Kang+30000
Roger Sloan+30000
Camilo Villegas+30000
Robert Streb+30000
Stephan Jaeger+30000
Hank Lebioda+30000
Henrik Norlander+30000
Sam Ryder+30000
Bryson Nimmer+30000
Peter Malnati+30000
Brandon Hagy+30000
Ryan Brehm+30000
Scott Piercy+30000
Adam Schenk+30000
Richy Werenski+35000
Brian Gay+40000
Nick Watney+40000
Scott Brown+40000
Bill Haas+40000
Jim Herman+40000
Chesson Hadley+40000
Michael Gligic+50000
James Hahn+50000
William McGirt+50000
Morgan Hoffmann+50000
Jonathan Byrd+50000
Martin Trainer+50000
Kevin Tway+50000
Davis Love+100000
James Piot+100000
Morgan DeNeen+100000
Odds via Caesars Sportsbook

RBC Heritage Past Winners

  • 2021 Stewart Cink (-19)
  • 2020 Webb Simpson (-22)
  • 2019 CT Pan (-12)
  • 2018 Satoshi Kodaira (-12)
  • 2017 Wesley Bryan (-13)
  • 2016 Branden Grace (-9)
  • 2015 Jim Furyk (-18)
  • 2014 Matt Kuchar (-11)
  • 2013 Graeme McDowell (-9)
  • 2012 Carl Pettersson (-14)

RBC Heritage Picks & Predictions

This week the key metrics that our model is using to compile our portfolio are strokes gained on the approach, fairways gained, past performance on Pete Dye courses, success on bermuda greens, and course history here at Harbour Town.



RBC Heritage Outright Winner Picks

Matthew Fitzpatrick +2200 (BetMGM) – Looking at past champions, it’s very rare that the favorites win this tournament, so Fitz in the second tier in this 20/1 range is a good starting point. Since February, Fitzpatrick has been playing some of the best golf on TOUR. He only has one missed cut in the last two months and has been in the top 15 five times. Fitzpatrick is the top player on tour in total strokes gained and was a solid T-14 at Augusta, so he is coming into here in good form. Fitzpatrick has said multiple times that Harbour Town is his favorite spot on TOUR, and we love his chances to get his first career win here this weekend.

Corey Conners +2800 (Caesars) – Conners put together an impressive showing at Augusta National, finishing sixth in an obviously very loaded field. Conners has not missed a cut since mid-February and has been under par in three straight tournaments. Conners is playing consistent golf and has a good resume on Dye courses, short courses and anywhere that puts a premium on accuracy. He finished 21st in 2020 and 4th last year.

Joaquin Niemann +3300 (BetMGM) – Niemann is a player who we have been backing a lot this season and will continue to do so. He had a great start at the Masters but faded over the weekend, missing the Top 30 by one stroke. That said, his game is still in great form, his wire to wire win at the Genesis was only a few weeks ago. His game translates very well to this course and he had a T-5 here in 2020. He will be in contention come Sunday.

Daniel Berger +3500 (Caesers) – Berger comes into Hilton Head after a disappointing T-50 at the Masters, but Augusta National just has his number for whatever reason. Berger is at his best on small courses like this, all four of his PGA TOUR wins came at short courses that are very similar to Harbour Town. He has excelled here in the past, finishing 13th last year and third in 2019. Berger is #1 in Strokes Gained: On The Approach over his past 50 rounds and if he can avoid losing strokes putting, he has a great chance to get his fifth career win at a course that fits his skill set perfectly.

Maverick McNealy +5000 (FanDuel) – McNealy, like Berger, is at his best on shorter courses. All three of his career top-fives have come on courses 7,200 yards or less, and that includes a fourth place finish here at Harbour Town last year. His Stores Gained: Approach leaves a little to be desired, just outside the Top 50, but he is one of the best putters on TOUR and if his short game comes through, he will be in contention just like he was last year. 

RBC Heritage Top 10 Picks

Outside of Scottie Scheffler and Matthew Fitzpatrick, there are not many golfers on TOUR playing better than Lowry. He has two top-five finishes in the last two months and four inside the Top 15. Lowry is 10th in total strokes gained, and looked like he might contend for a Green Jacket at Augusta National last week before he shot 73 on Saturday and ended up finishing third. He finished ninth last year and is great value to get a Top 10 finish this year at these generous odds.

RBC Heritage Top 20 Picks

Alex Noren has been under-the-radar playing very well, finishing 12th or better in three of his last five tourneys. He’s been closing out well and has never missed the cut at RBC. If everything goes right, Noren will have a chance to contend this weekend and the model loves him to finish in the Top 20.

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